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Singapore Stock Market Analysis 17th Dec

Market Review for STI:
Share prices opened lower at 3220.13.Asian markets edged up on Wednesday on bargain-hunting, although gains were limited following more losses on Wall Street, while investors await the outcome of a Federal Reserve policy meet. Marked ended with a bullishness at the level of 3227.23.
STI Day Performance
Open
3220.13
High
3232.64
Low
3200.63
Close
3227.23
Change(Points)
+12.14
% Change
+0.38%
Volume
1208.5M
Rise
174
Fall
192
Unch
829
Market forecast for STI:
It may be expected that STI will take little correction from previous down trend.
STI LEVELS
S 1
S 2
S 3
R 1
R 2
R 3
3210
3200
3190
3240
3250
3260
Technical Indicators:
RSI is at 36 and CCI is at 302.
Top Gainers
Top Losers
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
SEMBCORP MARINE.SG
3.16
9.34
GOLDEN AGRI-RES.SG
0.425
-4.49
KEPPEL CORP.SG
8.22
3.01
SIA.SG
11.31
-2.42
SGX.SG
7.54
2.03
CAPITALAND.SG
3.1
-1.27
OLAM INTL.SG
1.98
1.54
SIA ENGINEERING.SG
3.92
-1.01
SEMBCORP IND.SG
4.16
1.46
WILMAR INTL.SG
3.11
-0.64
Important Factor for today:-
  • Singapore's non-oil domestic exports (NODX) grew 1.6 per cent in November from a year earlier, as a jump in pharmaceuticals exports outweighed the fall in electronic shipments, figures by trade agency IE Singapore showed on Wednesday.
  • Market cap of 23 Offshore Marine firms falls 15.7% in a month amid oil rout .Offshore support services firms listed in Singapore have seen their returns decline by more than one-tenth over the year, in line with falling oil prices, with some of the larger companies among these losing more than half of their returns during the same period.
  • Buoyed perhaps by their year-end bonuses and the holiday season, Singapore consumers ended 2014 slightly more optimistic about their finances and the economy
  • Asian markets edged up on Wednesday on bargain-hunting, although gains were limited following more losses on Wall Street, while investors await the outcome of a Federal Reserve policy meeting.
  • Supplies of western-origin fuel oil into Asia in January could hit its highest in nine months, as multi-year low crude prices fuel higher production of oil products in Europe and the America.
  • The Competition Commission of Singapore (CCS) is seeking feedback on the proposed joint venture between the Boeing Company and SIA Engineering Company in Singapore.

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Singapore & Malaysia Stock Market Review


Market Review for STI:
The market opened lower @3278.08 and the high was marked @3282.86, the high was observed @3282.86 and the low of the day was at 3272.23.
STI Day Performance
Open
3278.08
High
3282.86
Low
3272.23
Close
3279.64
Change(Points)
-0.53
% Change
-0.02
Volume
2007.8M
Rise
235
Fall
161
Unch
385
Market forecast for STI:
STI formed a green candle for the day and the index closed lower than the previous day close .The index is in uptrend but still the minor movements may be in downtrend. It is expected to move in a downtrend 3260-3280.
Technical indicators:
RSI is above the centre line @55.37, where CCI @31.29
Important Factor for today:-
  • CAPITALAND hold more than 90% of the issued shares of CapitaMalls Asia .CMA shares will not be traded anymore on stock exchange .The application has been submitted by CapitaLand for the delisting of CMA.
  • SGX seeks a proposal to ease a secondary listing for the companies to make it easier. It will no longer impose additional continuing listing obligations.
  • There has been no material development in STATS ChipPAC since May 16, its announcement date. The interest is shown by the other parties to acquire all the shares in the company.
Top Gainers
Top Loosers
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
Olam Intl
2.33
1.75
CapitaMall Trust
1.99
-2.45
ComfortDelGro
2.42
0.83
HongkongLand USD
6.83
-2.43
SIA Engineering
5.01
0.81
JMH 400 USD
59.88
-2.41
HPH Trust USD
0.74
0.68
JSH 500 USD
35.6
-1.77
OCBC Bank
9.75
0.52
Golden Agri-Res
0.56
-1.75
Market Review for KLCI:
The share prices opened higher, index up 3.96 points and opened @1869.98. Yesterday the shares ended lower, index slipped 7.35 points. Today’s close price is 1869 and the low is marked @1863.11.
KLCI Day Performance
Open
1869.98
High
1870.6
Low
1863.11
Close
1869
Change(Points)
+3.800
% Change
+0.20
Volume
1494.2M
Rise
380
Fall
361
Unch
875
Market forecast for KLCI:
The KLCI is performing average and is moving in a price range of 1860-1880 .It is expected that it will be in a same range.
Technical indicators:
RSI is just below the centre line@50.75 where the CCI is performing at -53.96.
Top Gainers
Top Loosers
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
Scrip Name
CMP
%change
MISC
6.1
1.5
GENTING
9.83
-1.7
ASTRO
3.46
0.29
IOICORP
5.11
-1.54
PETGAS
24.06
0.25
YTL
1.61
-1.23
KLK
24.24
0.17
TENAGA
11.98
-1.16
RHBCAP
8.38
-0.12
IOIPG
2.5
-0.79

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Investment & Trading Analysis for STI & KLCI

Market Review for STI:
STI
opens little bit higher than the previous close @3304.06 and the close was marked @3296.4 ,the low was observed @3292.03 and the high of the day was marked @3304.19.
STI Day Performance
Open3304.06
High3304.19
Low3292.03
Close3296.4
Change(Points)-5.840
% Change-0.18%
Volume1377.1M
Rise179
Fall219
Unch385
Market forecast for STI:
STI formed a red candle for the day with a real body and a long lower shadow . This is a stick pattern .The overall trend of the market is uptrend so it is expected that STI is will move in trend .Though today it performed low but is expected to move with the major trend which is up.
Technical indicators:
CCI is @125.89 and RSI is @62.16
STI LEVELS
Support 13285
Support 23275
Support 33260
Resistance 13305
Resistance 23315
Resistance 33330
Important Factor for today:-
  • The board of directors from Oxley Holding proposed to split every two ordinary shares into three shares .This split will increase the market liquidity of the shares and broaden its shareholder base.The company has 2.98 billion issued shares, if proposal accepted then will have 4.42 billion shares .
  • YuuZoo, a Singapore e-commerce firm , plans to go public through a S$490.9 million reverse takeover of W corporation ltd.
  • The Singapore Minister for Trade and Industry Lim Hng Kiang said ,the infrastructure need to enhance the financing ecosystem's ability to match projects with available capital .
  • China's factory sector performed best due to the improvement in export orders ,it may be a sign of economic stability.
Top Gainers Top Loosers
Scrip NameCMP%changeScrip NameCMP%change
ComfortDelGro2.43Sembcorp Ind5.38-1.28
Noble1.4251.79Wilmar Intl3.2-1.24
SPH4.190.48CapitaMall Trust2.04-0.97
DBS16.980.35ThaiBev0.635-0.78
CapitaLand3.20.31CityDev10.35-0.77
Market Review for KLCI:
KLCI prices opens 4.41 points up @1866.37 and the close of the day was marked @1872.55 .The high of the day was marked @1872.55 and the closing was @1872.55. The market performed well than the previous day .From the current price movement the RSI is indicating the up movement while CCI indicating the trend reversal.
KLCI Day Performance
Open1866.37
High1872.55
Low1866.37
Close1872.55
Change(Points)+8.3
% Change+0.44
Volume1470.8M
Rise176
Fall232
Unch375
Market forecast for KLCI:
The KLCI formed a green candle for the day with no shadows and only a real body.The price movement for the next day may be expected to be in a price range of 1860-1890.
KLCI LEVELS
Support 11865
Support 21855
Support 31845
Resistance 11880
Resistance 21890
Resistance 31900
Technical indicators:
The CCI is marked @-15.575 and RSI is @53.153
Top Gainers Top Loosers
Scrip NameCMP%changeScrip NameCMP%change
IOICORP5.194.43MISC6.01-2.12
HLFG15.821.93SKPETRO4.07-1.45
ASTRO3.451.47PBBANK21.06-0.38
AXIATA6.91.47IHH4.16-0.24
GENTING101.01UMW10.78-0.19

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Commodity (Gold | SIlver | Crude) Technical Analysis

GOLD
Gold price rose yesterday from the opening of session as the tension in Ukraine increase but can’t see the buying after few hours of US opening as the poor Physical Demand in the commodity pull back the price, technically gold is near to a critical retracement zone which should determine whether the market forms a potentially bullish secondary higher bottom or attempts to take out the last swing bottom.
Forecast
Gold is expected to trade in range of 1300 to 1280
SILVER
Silver got the supportive clue form the value of Gold and it also took the up-move and rose 2.1 % Currently Silver is trading in a very tight range of 19.65 to 19.00 and is not breaking this level, volatility in the market is only supportive to make trade in silver.
Forecast
Silver prices are expected to trade weaker in a range of 18.70 to 19.90
CRUDE
Crude oil prices moved up by 0.60% on Monday after European union warned of further sanctions and Russia threatened to disrupt gas supplies. Talks between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency ended inconclusively on Monday with no clear indication whether progress on an agreement over Tehran's nuclear programme had been achieved.
Forecast
Crude is expected to trade sideway for today’s session in a range of 100.50 to 99
TODAY’S DAY RANGE
COMMODITY S1 S2 R1 R2
GOLD 1285 1275 1300 1314
SILVER 19.20 18.50 19.80 20.50
CRUDE 99.20 98.50 100.70 101.50

DAY’S HIGHLIGHT
  • As China is the biggest economy for the Industrial Production so Chinese data can have a broad impact on the currency markets due to China's influence on the global economy and investor sentiment.
  • Australia is about to release the Annual Budget that will be including expected spending and income levels, borrowing levels, financial objectives, and planned investments.
  • European Union foreign ministers indicated any disruption of elections in Ukraine on May 25 could trigger new economic sanctions against Russia.
Data Update for 13th May 2014
Time Currency Particular Impact Actual Forecast Previous
4:15am NZD FPI m/m

0.60%

-0.30%
4:31am GBP BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y

4.20%

-1.70%
5:20am JPY M2 Money Stock y/y

3.40% 3.40% 3.60%
7:00am AUD HPI q/q

1.70% 3.00% 3.80%


AUD Home Loans m/m

-0.90% -0.10% 2.30%
9:15am JPY 30-y Bond Auction

1.71|4.6

1.70|2.9
11:00am CNY Industrial Production y/y HIGH

8.90% 8.80%


CNY Fixed Asset Investment ytd/y



17.70% 17.60%


CNY Retail Sales y/y



12.20% 12.20%
11:30am EUR German WPI m/m



0.10% 0.00%
1:40pm GBP MPC Member Cunliffe Speaks







2:30pm EUR German ZEW Economic Sentiment HIGH

41.3 43.2


EUR ZEW Economic Sentiment



63.5 61.2
Tentative AUD Annual Budget Release HIGH





5:00pm USD NFIB Small Business Index



94.6 93.4
6:00pm USD Core Retail Sales m/m HIGH

0.60% 0.70%


USD Retail Sales m/m HIGH

0.50% 1.20%


USD Import Prices m/m



0.40% 0.60%
7:30pm USD Business Inventories m/m



0.40% 0.40%
8:00pm CAD BOC Review







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Singapore Stock Market Technical Analysis View

Market Review for STI:
Singapore Stock opened higher today where STI was up by 11.61 points to 3249.35 as it was a gap up opening after yesterday’s gap down opening. STI took the up move later and made a high of 3267.83 and gave closing at 3264.71.
STI Day Performance
Open
3249.35
High
3267.83
Low
3248.62
Close
3264.71
Change(Points)
26.97
% Change
0.83
Volume
1651.6M
Rise
190
Fall
198
Unch
688
Market forecast for STI:
STI formed a long green candle for the day with a little upper shadow. Today STI took a movement of almost 16 points. Marubozu pattern was formed for the day. Hence performing in a consolidate phase.
Technical indicators:
RSI is just above the centre line @62.35. Where CCI is @ 69.74
STI LEVELS
Support 1
3255
Support 2
3244
Support 3
3230
Resistance 1
3275
Resistance 2
3288
Resistance 3
3299
Important Factor for today:-
  • Important Factor for today:-
  • New housing loan applications down by 45% on YOY basis.
  • Mapletree will acquire 49% stake in Oakwood Asia Pacific in a joint venture to target and acquire service apartment business in Asia.
  • Data for unemployment published for 1Q2014 with a rise of 2.1 % in unemployment rate where it was 1.8% in Dec2013.
  • Bank lending in Singapore grew a bit faster by 0.6% in march as total loans grew to S$ 587.7 billion in March.
  • 11% of gain posted by Yangzijiang Shipbuilding for 1Q2014 whereas net profit attributable to shareholder rose to 799.2million Yuan, as revenue grew 24% to 3.6 billion Yuan.
Top Gainers
Top Loosers
Scrip Name CMP %change Scrip Name CMP %change
Noble 1.285 3.21 CityDev 10.83 -2.17
UOB 21.76 2.74 JSH 500 USD 35.7 -1.11
Global Logistic 2.85 2.52 SIA Engineering 4.79 -0.83
OCBC Bank 9.65 1.9 ST Engineering 3.82 -0.78
Golden Agri-Res 0.61 1.67 Sembcorp Ind 5.37 -0.56
Market Review for KLCI:
KLCI opened flat today at 1859.32 at the same level as of yesterday’s closing and made a high of 1871.52 and gave closing to the same level it formed a green candle for the day.
KLCI Day Performance
Open
1859.32
High
1871.52
Low
1857.07
Close
1871.52
Change(Points)
12.18
% Change
0.66
Volume
1506.8M
Rise
362
Fall
419
Unch
1380
Market forecast for KLCI:
A long green candle was formed for the day with a long real body and a short lower shadow today KLCI touched a four months high of 1871 and is trading at the peck point.
KLCI LEVELS
Support 1
1850
Support 2
1835
Support 3
1880
Resistance 1
1890
Resistance 2
1905
Resistance 3
1850
Technical indicators:
The technical indicators are strong on the chart as RSI is at 63.80 & CCI is at 124.84
Top Gainers
Top Loosers
Scrip Name CMP %change Scrip Name CMP %change
ASTRO 3.33 4.06 PCHEM 6.73 -1.03
DIGI 5.54 2.78 SKPETRO 4.31 -0.46
TM 6.2 2.48 IOIPG 2.68 -0.37
IOICORP 5 2.46 UMW 10.76 -0.37
MAYBANK 9.9 1.85 GENTING 9.8 -0.3

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Singapore & Malaysia Stock Market Weekly Review


Weekly Technical view on STI
Weekly wrap of STI:
This was the good week for STI & it made a Green candle for this week continuing the bullish trend of last week as there was a gap up opening of around 8 points in this week.
STI cover the range of 34 points for this week. A spinning top candle was formed for this week and with a short real body. As the whole week was full of Q1 result & dividend distributed by the counters so the bullish trend is expected in the coming week.
S 1
S 2
S 3
R 1
R 2
R 3
3250
3230
3200
3280
3300
3330
Macroeconomic factors:
  • Singapore consumer price or inflation rose by 1.2% in March, where food inflation rose by 2.9% & health care inflation by 3.4%
  • A fall of 22% reported in net profit of Singapore Exchange a net profit of S$ 75.8 million was reported
  • Gerard Ee elected as a President of Institute of Singapore Chartered Accountants.
  • CapitaMall Asia made a jump of 2.8% to S$75.3 million in Net Profit for 1Q 2014.
  • RH Perto Gas Investments proposed sale of 49% Stake in RHP for US $ 2.79Million
  • Shares in Catalist listed SHC Capital Asia surged on Monday that it is discussing a sale of its core insurance business
Market Forecast for week ahead:
The market is moving in the uptrend and is supported by the good volume the technical indicators are also positive for the next week. The expected range for the coming week of STI would be 3250- 3300.
In the coming week there will be many counters like MapleTree, ThaiBev,SGX, CapitaMalls Asia, OCBC Bank and many more which will be delivering there dividend so the fundamental will be supportive for the up move of STI.
STRAIT TIMES WEEKLY WRAP
OPEN
3260.78
HIGH
3284.70
LOW
3250.09
CLOSE
3267.57
CHANGE (In Points)
13.77
% CHANGE
0.42 %
Technical Indicators:
Technical Indicators are showing the uptrend where RSI is above the centre line @52.27 else CCI is @ 181.57 which means that there is still a fair move for STI to take upside.
Weekly Technical view on KLCI
Weekly wrap of KLCI:
KLCI opened at 1851.61 for this week, took the uptrend and made a high of 1870.89 and closed at 1860.98 for this week. A green candle was formed for this week. For this week KLCI make a movement of almost 20 points.
A Inverted hammer Pattern was formed for this week with a long real body and a long upper shadow. 20 Days EMA is @1830 where the 50 Days EMA is @ 1792.
S 1
S 2
S 3
R 1
R 2
R 3
1845
1825
1800
1875
1890
1915
Market Forecast for week ahead:
KLCI is performing at its peak and is able to sustain itself form last three week so it can be said that now it is above the crucial level and expected to break the resistance.
Technical Indicators:
Technically KLCI is having a bullish trend on the chart where CCI is @121.03 & RSI is about to enter in the overbought range @62.83
KLCI WEEKLY WRAP
OPEN
1851.61
HIGH
1870.89
LOW
1849.68
CLOSE
1860.98
CHANGE (In Points)
8.29
% CHANGE
0.44 %

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STI & KLCI Technical Report for 23rd April

Market Review for STI:

Today STI Opened at 3258.56 and came in a bullish trend after a consolidate move for last three days, it made a high of 3277.53 and closed at the same. It formed a green candle for the day.
STI Day Performance Open 3258.56
High 3277.53 % Change 0.67% Close 3277.53
Low 3255.64 Volume 2063.7M Fall 122
Change(Points) 21.70 Rise 296 Unch 654
Market forecast for STI:
A Green candle with a long real body was formed for the day with a short shadow. After three days of range bound trading today STI made a long candle for the day & take a bullish move. Marubozu pattern was formed for the day. Today STI break the high of 24th July 2013 a high point from last 11 Months, expected to take an up move for the coming sessions.
STRAITS TIME LEVELS
Support 1 3267
Support 2 3255
Support 3 3240
Resistance 1 3288
Resistance 2 3307
Resistance 3 3320
Technical indicators:
RSI is above the centre line @75.36 is about to move in overbought level. Where CCI is @ 149.49.
Important Factor for today:-
  • Mapletree Logistics Trust posted 1.89 Sg Cents for its Q4DPU
  • Ascendas Reit posted 3.5 Sg Cents for its Q4 DPU where the distributable income was 85.3 Million
  • Gerard Ee elected as a President of Institute of Singapore Chartered Accountants.
Market Review for KLCI:
A short green candle was formed for the day where KLCI opened at 1862.90 and made a high of 1866.42 and gave the same closing with a low of 1816.90
KLCI Day Performance Open 1862.90
High 1866.42 % Change 0.19% Close 1866.42
Low 1861.90 Volume 2609 M Fall 404
Change(Points) 3.49 Rise 455 Unch 1289
Market forecast for KLCI:
After taking a long up move yesterday KLCI maintain itself above the support level of 1850 and now is in an uptrend as a green candle with a little lower shadow was formed for the day. By observing the last three trading session KLCI is now in an uptrend and buyers are more interested now.
Technical indicators:
RSI is above the centre line @64.26 else CCI is @175.54

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