RSS

Singapore Daily Technical Ananlysis Reports on STI


Market Review:
STI shares fell on the 4th continuous day, and closed well below the 50 & 200 day MA levels after minutes of the US Federal Reserve's October meeting indicated possible stimulus withdrawal at one of its next few meetings
Singapore shares open with gap down @ 3175.70 and then just made day high @3176.76 and then it traded lower side and made day low @ 3158.40 and then it recovers and closed @3172.38 with loss of 11.85 points down by 0.37%
Some 1.44 billion shares, valued at S$948.3 million were traded. Gainers numbered 136 while losers numbered 271.
Singapore raised its full-year growth forecast for 2013 to between 3.5 and 4.0 % after third-quarter GDP grew 5.7 % from a year ago, helped by further signs of a recovery in manufacturing and continued strength in services.

Market forecast:
STI closed below its 50 & 200 day MA level and also closed with recovery.
STI formed a candlestick pattern called “Hammer” A hammer is a type of bullish reversal candlestick pattern, made up of just one candle, The candle looks like a hammer, as it has a long lower wick and a short body at the top of the candlestick with little or no upper wick. here the hammer form in a downtrend this is a sign of a potential reversal in the market as the long lower wick represents a period of trading where the sellers were initially in control but the buyers were able to reverse that control and drive prices back up to close near the high for the day, thus the short body at the top of the candle.
After seeing this chart pattern form in the market most traders will wait for the next period to open higher than the close of the previous period to confirm that the buyers are actually in control.
Two additional things that traders will look for to place more significance on the pattern are a long lower wick and an increase in volume for the time period that formed the hammer.

Support:

STI having immediate support @ 3155 level and below this level it can take support @3135-3115 will be the support zone for STI.

Resistance:
STI having immediate Resistance @3195 and above this level it may take resistance @ 3215-3235

Technical indicators:
Technical indicators MACD, RSI and CCI are turning from lower.

Technical view on STI
Support 1
3155
Support 2
3135
Support 3
3115
Resistance 1
3195
Resistance 2
3215
Resistance 3
3235

  • Digg
  • Del.icio.us
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • RSS

Today's Technical view on STI

Technical view on STI
STRAITS TIME LEVELS
Support 1 3185
Support 2 3165
Support 3 3145
Resistance 1 3205
Resistance 2 3220
Resistance 3 3235

Market Review:
Singapore shares open high but closed below 3200 mark.
Singapore shares open at 3204.200 and then it made day high @ 3206.92 but faced resistance at that level and traded on lower side and made day low @ 3188.58 near to its 50& 200 day MA level and finally closed @ 3192.08 with loss of 10.95 points down by 0.34%.
Some 1.69 billion shares, valued at S$892.3 million were traded. Gainers numbered 176 while losers numbered 264.
Market forecast:
STI closed below 3200 level and took support near to its 50 & 200 day Ma level which is 3185.122 & 3185.779.
As we previously mention that STItraded in a triangle pattern and yesterday it touched its breakout level of 3218. Pattern starts from 19th Sept from the highest high of 3260.14 and then it took support on 3104 level on 8th Oct and again made high which is lower than previous high i.e.3235.25 and then it faced resistance at this level and fell down and took support @ 3163 which is higher than previous low, now its next move may be breakout from this pattern and if it will crossed 3220-3235 then it will definitely move upwards.
But today index moved down side and took support at its major support level as 50 & 200 day MA levels are about to give cross over so after that maybe we can see clear trend.

Support:
STI having immediate support @ 3185 level and below this level it can take support @3165-3145 will be the support zone for STI.

Resistance:
STI having immediate Resistance @3205 and above this level it may take resistance @ 3220-3235

Technical indicators:
Technical indicators MACD, RSI and CCI are turning from lower.

  • Digg
  • Del.icio.us
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • RSS

Commodity technical outlook for Today

Technical Levels

SUPPORT 1 SUPPORT 2 RESIS 1 RESIS 2
GOLD 1281 1274 1292 1297
SILVER 20.57 20.43 20.96 21.11
COPPER 3.1485 3.1260 3.1890 3.2070
CRUDE 93.43 93.02 94.40 94.96
Commodity Contract S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
SILVER
Silver moved lower overnight to open at 20.63/20.68, which was also the low of the day. Thereafter, it followed gold to a high of 20.79/20.84 prior to concluding the session at 20.73/20.78. 
Silver closed lower for the 3rd week in a row, at 20.78. The close breached a support level of 20.85, which was the 61.8% retracement of the July-August uptrend. Intraweek, silver also made a new low around 20.44. The move opens up a retracement to the last significant low of 19.16 from August. ADX has declined sharply from a high in the 72’s to the current 26 level, indicating that bear momentum has faded substantially in this consolidation since June 2013. Like gold, silver may be forming a bottom; however, near term risk is to the downside.
Silver settled down as pressure seen since last Thursday after strong U.S. GDP and jobs growth data
Yellen told that while the economy is on the mend, inflation and unemployment rates have room to move closer to Fed comfort zones.
Holdings at ishares silver trust dropped by 50.93 tonnes to 10392.89 tonnes from 10443.82 tonnes.
GOLD
Gold edged lower overnight to open at 1282.75/1283.75. After dropping slightly to a low of 1282.25/1283.25, it rose to a high of 1289.75/1290.75 while the dollar weakened following a drop in U.S. industrial output and weaker than expected NY Fed manufacturing data. Thereafter, the metal traded within range to close marginally lower at 1287.75/1288.75.
Gold closed unchanged this week at 1288, forming a doji in the weekly candlestick chart. Support is at the most recent significant low of 1251, while resistance is at the most recent significant high of 1361. The RSI on the weekly chart is at 40, still within bear market territory, and the most recent signal from MACD is a sell. The bearish trend in place since the major high at 1921 remains strong, with an ADX of 40, which indicates a strong trend. However, gold’s inability to make a new low below 1251 is encouraging from a longer term perspective, and it is possible that the metal is forming a bottom, particularly given that it nearly achieved our technical objective of 1155 (when it traded to a low of 1180).
Gold settled flat underpinned by expectations that the nominee to lead the Fed, Janet Yellen, would continue easy monetary policy in that role
Yellen told Senate Committee the Fed’s economic stimulus would continue, prompting gold speculators to buy back their bearish bets.
China has purchased 798 tonnes of the precious metal so far this year, compared to India’s 715 tonnes – WGC
COPPER
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, copper futures for December delivery traded at USD3.174 a pound during European morning trade.
Comex copper prices declined 2.55% on the week.
Copper futures tumbled to the lowest level since August after a top-level Communist Party meeting disappointed investors who were expecting announcements of major economic reforms.
China is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year.
Copper ended with losses due to the outflow of money for risk aversion.
China’s production of refined copper may have been inflated by more than 15 percent this year.
Copper daily stocks at Shanghai exchange came down by 1801 tonnes
CRUDE
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude futures for delivery in December fell to USD94.38 a barrel, down 0.12%, trading in a range of USD94.36 - USD94.49. On Friday, the contract closed at USD93.84 a barrel.
The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of six other major currencies, traded at 80.95 on Monday, up 0.10%.
Traders remained concerned about rising U.S. inventories.
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported Thursday that crude oil inventories last week rose by 2.6 million barrels, far more than the 994,000 barrels predicted by analysts.
Total U.S. crude oil inventories stood at 388.1 million barrels as of last week, the highest since June.
New York crude oil futures eased in early Asian trade on Monday with the dollar index up slightly with the contract seen consolidating as large stockpiles in the United States weigh on the market.
Crude oil dropped on the reports that a senior U.S. official said a deal with Iran on its nuclear program was “quite possible”.
Sanctions against Iran because of its nuclear program have kept some 1 million barrels of oil off the global market.
The IEA said that while oil markets look well supplied in the short term, prices could rise in next few months due to a seasonal increase in demand. 

  • Digg
  • Del.icio.us
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • RSS

GOLD SILVER COPPER CRUDE Commodiy weekly Outlook (18 - 22 Nov)

Gold futures edged higher on Friday, as renewed hopes of continued stimulus from the Federal Reserve supported the precious metal.
Gold prices have largely tracked shifting expectations as to whether the Fed would start tapering its USD85-billion-a-month asset-purchase program by the end of the year.
On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold futures for December delivery inched up 0.09% on Friday to settle the week at USD1,287.40 a troy ounce.
The December contract rose to USD1,293.80 a troy ounce on Thursday, the highest since November 8, before settling at USD1,286.30, up 1.41%.
Gold futures were likely to find support at USD1,265.00 a troy ounce, the low from November 13 and resistance at USD1,313.30, the high from November 8.
On the week, the precious metal advanced 0.21%, the first weekly gain in three weeks.
Gold prices edged higher after a report showed that the Federal Reserve’s Empire state manufacturing index fell to -2.21 from 1.52 in October. Economists had forecast a rise to 5.0.
A separate report showed that U.S. industrial production fell 0.1% in October, after rising by 0.7% in September, compared to expectations for a 0.2% increase.
The U.S. dollar weakened after the disappointing data dampened expectations that the Fed may start to scale back its USD85 billion-a-month asset purchase program as soon as next month.
The dollar index, which tracks the performance of the greenback against a basket of six other major currencies, fell 0.19% on Friday to settle the week at 80.87.
Dollar weakness usually benefits gold, as it boosts the metal's appeal as an alternative asset and makes dollar-priced commodities cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Gold prices rallied sharply on Thursday after testimony from Federal Reserve Vice Chairwoman Janet Yellen suggested the central bank will continue supporting the U.S. economy with stimulus.
Ms. Yellen said it was "imperative" that the Fed does everything in its power to ensure a robust recovery. She said the quantitative easing program would not continue indefinitely but the timescale for reducing it would be data dependent.
The comments came during a Senate confirmation hearing to take over from Ben Bernanke as head of the central bank in February.
In the week ahead, we will be closely watching Wednesday’s minutes of the Fed’s most recent policy setting meeting. The U.S. is also to release data on retail sales and consumer prices.
Gold prices are down approximately 24% this year on concerns the Fed would begin cutting back its easy-money policy by trimming its USD85-billion monthly bond purchases.
Elsewhere on the Comex, silver for December delivery settled 0.02% higher on Friday to close the week at USD20.72 a troy ounce. Silver prices ended up 1.37% at USD20.72 on Thursday.
Despite Thursday’s gains, silver future prices still lost 2.76% on the week, the third consecutive weekly decline.
Meanwhile, copper for December delivery inched up 0.33% on Friday to close the week at USD3.171 a pound. On Thursday, copper futures fell to USD3.142 a pound, the lowest since August 7, before ending up 0.03% USD3.160 a pound.
Comex copper prices declined 2.55% on the week.
Copper futures tumbled to the lowest level since August after a top-level Communist Party meeting disappointed investors who were expecting announcements of major economic reforms.
China is the world’s largest copper consumer, accounting for almost 40% of world consumption last year.
New York-traded crude oil futures ended little changed on Friday to cap a sixth consecutive weekly decline amid worries the recent U.S. government shutdown created a drag on economic growth and eroded demand in the world’s largest oil consumer.
On the New York Mercantile Exchange, light sweet crude futures for delivery in December inched up 0.09% on Friday to settle the week at USD93.84 a barrel by close of trade.
The December contract fell to USD92.51 a barrel on Thursday, the lowest since June 4, before ending at USD93.76 a barrel, down 0.13%.
Oil futures were likely to find support at USD92.51 a barrel, the low from November 14 and resistance at USD95.22 a barrel, the high from November 12.
On the week, U.S. oil futures retreated 0.8%, the sixth consecutive weekly decline and the longest losing streak since December 1998.
Concerns over the U.S. economic outlook and the impact on future oil demand prospects mounted after a report released Friday showed that the Federal Reserve’s Empire state manufacturing index fell to -2.21 from 1.52 in October. Economists had forecast a rise to 5.0.
Oil traders often use manufacturing numbers as indicators for future fuel demand growth.
A separate report said that U.S. industrial production fell 0.1% in October, after rising by 0.7% in September, compared to expectations for a 0.2% increase.
Traders also remained concerned about rising U.S. inventories.

  • Digg
  • Del.icio.us
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • RSS